he wins nevada, and you have a top republican saying nevada is going with obama. wins wisconsin which has the president up two or three points. then you add iowa or new hampshire which the polls may an slight obama lead but even if romney runs the table and gets every state that currently has it as a dead heat, florida, virginia, iowa, new hampshire, as long as president obama still holds on to ohio, nevada and wisconsin no matter what the national pop lay vote, the president gets 271 and he wins. >> eliot: if i hear you properly what is going on here, even though the national polls are saying this thing is closing up, mitt romney is making this thing an interesting horse race to watch, it isn't good enough in this race, 270 is the magical number. after all the talk of momentum for mitt romney, that number four seems to be constant.